Mortality in adolescents and young adults following a first presentation to the emergency department for alcohol.

BACKGROUND AND METHODS: We conducted a population-based, retrospective cohort study of first-time emergency department (ED) visits in adolescents and young adults (AYA) due to alcohol and compared mortality to AYA with nonalcohol ED visits between 2009 and 2015 using standardized all-cause mortality ratios (age, sex, income, and rurality). We described the cause of death for AYA and examined the association between clinical factors and mortality rates in the alcohol cohort using proportional hazard models. RESULTS: A total of 71,776 AYA had a first-time ED visit due to alcohol (56.1% male, mean age 20.7 years) between 2009 and 2015, representing 3.3% of the 2,166,838 AYA with an ED visit in this time period. At 1 year, there were 2396 deaths, 248 (10.3%) following an ED visit related to alcohol. First-time alcohol ED visits were associated with a threefold higher risk in mortality at 1 year (0.35% vs. 0.10%, adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 3.07, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.69-3.51). Mortality was associated with age 25-29 years (aHR 3.88, 95% CI 2.56-5.86), being male (aHR 1.98, 95% CI 1.49-2.62), having a history of mental health or substance use (aHR 3.22, 95% CI 1.64-6.32), cause of visit being withdrawal/dependence (aHR 2.81, 95% CI 1.96-4.02), and having recurrent ED visits (aHR 1.97, 95% CI 1.27-3.05). Trauma (42.7%), followed by poisonings from drugs other than opioids (38.3%), and alcohol (28.6%) were the most common contributing causes of death. CONCLUSION: Incident ED visits due to alcohol in AYA are associated with a high risk of 1-year mortality, especially in young adults, those with concurrent mental health or substance use disorders, and those with a more severe initial presentation. These findings may help inform the need and urgency for follow-up care in this population.

Nurse practitioner and physician end-of-life home visits and end-of-life outcomes.

OBJECTIVES: Physicians and nurse practitioners (NPs) play critical roles in supporting palliative and end-of-life care in the community. We examined healthcare outcomes among patients who received home visits from physicians and NPs in the 90 days before death. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using linked data of adult home care users in Ontario, Canada, who died between 1 January 2018 and 31 December 2019. Healthcare outcomes included medications for pain and symptom management, emergency department (ED) visits, hospitalisations and a community-based death. We compared the characteristics of and outcomes in decedents who received a home visit from an NP, physician and both to those who did not receive a home visit. RESULTS: Half (56.9%) of adult decedents in Ontario did not receive a home visit from a provider in the last 90 days of life; 34.5% received at least one visit from a physician, 3.8% from an NP and 4.9% from both. Compared with those without any visits, having at least one home visit reduced the odds of hospitalisation and ED visits, and increased the odds of receiving medications for pain and symptom management and achieving a community-based death. Observed effects were larger in patients who received at least one visit from both. CONCLUSIONS: Beyond home care, receiving home visits from primary care providers near the end of life may be associated with better outcomes that are aligned with patients' preferences-emphasising the importance of NPs and physicians' role in supporting people near the end of life.

Derivation and validation of pragmatic clinical models to predict hospital length of stay after cardiac surgery in Ontario, Canada: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Cardiac surgery is resource intensive and often requires multidisciplinary involvement to facilitate discharge. To facilitate evidence-based resource planning, we derived and validated clinical models to predict postoperative hospital length of stay (LOS). METHODS: We used linked, population-level databases with information on all Ontario residents and included patients aged 18 years or older who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting, valvular or thoracic aorta surgeries between October 2008 and September 2019. The primary outcome was hospital LOS. The models were derived by using patients who had surgery before Sept. 30, 2016, and validated after that date. To address the rightward skew in LOS data and to identify top-tier resource users, we used logistic regression to derive a model to predict the likelihood of LOS being more than the 98th percentile (> 30 d), and γ regression in the remainder to predict continuous LOS in days. We used backward stepwise variable selection for both models. RESULTS: Among 105 193 patients, 2422 (2.3%) had an LOS of more than 30 days. Factors predicting prolonged LOS included age, female sex, procedure type and urgency, comorbidities including frailty, high-risk acute coronary syndrome, heart failure, reduced left ventricular ejection fraction and psychiatric and pulmonary circulatory disease. The C statistic was 0.92 for the prolonged LOS model and the mean absolute error was 2.4 days for the continuous LOS model. INTERPRETATION: We derived and validated clinical models to identify top-tier resource users and predict continuous LOS with excellent accuracy. Our models could be used to benchmark clinical performance based on expected LOS, rationally allocate resources and support patient-centred operative decision-making.

The cost-effectiveness of a nursing home-based transitional care unit for increasing the potential for independent living in the community among hospitalized older adults.

OBJECTIVE: In Canada, a persistent barrier to achieving healthcare system efficiency has been patient days accumulated by individuals with an alternate level of care (ALC) designation. Transitional care units (TCUs) may address the capacity pressures associated with ALC. We sought to assess the cost-effectiveness of a nursing home (NH) based TCU leveraging existing infrastructure to support a hospitalized older adult's transition to independent living at home. METHODS: This case-control study included frail, older adults who received care within a function-focused TCU following a hospitalization between 1 March 2018 and 30 June 2019. TCU patients were propensity score matched to hospitalized ALC patients ("usual care"). The primary outcome was days without requiring institutional care six months following discharge, defined as institutional-free days. This was calculated by excluding all days in hospitals, rehabilitation facilities, complex continuing care facilities and NHs. Using the total direct cost of care up to discharge from TCU or hospital, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was calculated. RESULTS: TCU patients spent, on average, 162.0 days institution-free (95% CI: 156.3-167.6d) within six months days post-discharge, while usual care patients spent 140.6 days institution-free (95% CI: 132.3-148.8d). TCU recipients had a lower total cost of care, by CAN$1,106 (95% CI: $-6,129-$10,319), due to the reduced hospital length of stay (mean [SD] 15.6d [13.3d] for TCU patients and 28.6d [67.4d] days for usual care). TCU was deemed the more cost-effective model of care. LIMITATIONS: The main limitation was the potential inclusion of patients not eligible for SAFE in our usual group. To minimize this selection bias, we expanded the geographical pool of ALC patients to patients with SAFE admission potential in other area hospitals. CONCLUSIONS: Through rehabilitative and restorative care, TCUs can reduce hospital length of stay, increase potential for independent living, and reduce risk for subsequent institutionalization.

A persistent barrier to achieving efficiency within the Canadian healthcare system has been days accumulated by patients who no longer require the intensity of hospital care but are waiting to be discharged to more appropriate care settings. Prolonged hospital stays are known to expose patients to various health risks.Transitional care units are care settings designed to improve care continuation for patients moving between different locations or levels of care. They an opportunity to address the capacity pressures and health risks associated with prolonged hospital stays.Studies have demonstrated the effectiveness of transitional care units to improve outcomes among older adults, such as reducing hospital length of stay, nursing home placement, and falls, as well as improving functional status, quality of life, and likelihood of being discharged home. However, the financial implications of transitional care units, in terms of resources required to operate their services, and value for money are not well understood.This study found that a nursing home-based, function-focused transitional care unit reduced the length of stay in hospitals and the risk for subsequent institutionalization among frail, older adults. This was achieved at a lower total cost of care. Older adults who received transitional care were able to remain at home for three weeks longer without requiring institutional care compared to those who did not receive transitional care. Considering the growing investments in transitional care, this research provides evidence supporting nursing home-based transitional care programs.

Linkage of the nationally representative Canadian Community Health Survey - Nutrition 2004 to routinely collected mortality records.

Introduction: The Canadian Community Health Survey (CCHS) - Nutrition 2004 (n=35,107; interview dates from January 2004 to January 2005) linked to the Canadian Vital Statistics - Death Database (CVSD) (2011) represents a novel linkage of a population-based, nationally representative nutrition survey with routinely collected mortality records (including date and cause of death). The linkage was done through individual tax data in Canada, and contains longitudinal records for 29,897 Canadians aged 0 years and older-1,753 of whom died-in the 10 provinces of Canada. The median follow-up time was 7.49 years, with 102,953 person-years among males and 114,876 person-years among females (unweighted), and included a special sampling survey weight (for linked data) to account for those who did not agree to share and link their information. The CCHS - Nutrition 2004 linked to CVSD has been used to evaluate associations between lifestyle and sociodemographic characteristics and mortality. Using these data, statistical methods have been developed and tested to control random and systematic measurement errors when evaluating the relationship between different dietary exposures (evaluated using repeated 24-hour dietary recalls) and health outcomes. The linked data are available through Statistics Canada's Research Data Centres.

Derivation and External Validation of a Clinical Model to Predict Heart Failure Onset in Patients With Incident Diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: Heart failure (HF) often develops in patients with diabetes and is recognized for its role in increased cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in this population. Most existing models predict risk in patients with prevalent rather than incident diabetes and fail to account for sex differences in HF risk factors. We derived sex-specific models in Ontario, Canada to predict HF at diabetes onset and externally validated these models in the U.K. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Retrospective cohort study using international population-based data. Our derivation cohort comprised all Ontario residents aged ≥18 years who were diagnosed with diabetes between 2009 and 2018. Our validation cohort comprised U.K. patients aged ≥35 years who were diagnosed with diabetes between 2007 and 2017. Primary outcome was incident HF. Sex-stratified multivariable Fine and Gray subdistribution hazard models were constructed, with death as a competing event. RESULTS: A total of 348,027 Ontarians (45% women) and 54,483 U.K. residents (45% women) were included. At 1, 5, and 9 years, respectively, in the external validation cohort, the C-statistics were 0.81 (95% CI 0.79-0.84), 0.79 (0.77-0.80), and 0.78 (0.76-0.79) for the female-specific model; and 0.78 (0.75-0.80), 0.77 (0.76-0.79), and 0.77 (0.75-0.79) for the male-specific model. The models were well-calibrated. Age, rurality, hypertension duration, hemoglobin, HbA1c, and cardiovascular diseases were common predictors in both sexes. Additionally, mood disorder and alcoholism (heavy drinker) were female-specific predictors, while income and liver disease were male-specific predictors. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings highlight the importance of developing sex-specific models and represent an important step toward personalized lifestyle and pharmacologic prevention of future HF development.

Patient-physician language concordance and quality and safety outcomes among frail home care recipients admitted to hospital in Ontario, Canada.

BACKGROUND: When patients and physicians speak the same language, it may improve the quality and safety of care delivered. We sought to determine whether patient-physician language concordance is associated with in-hospital and postdischarge outcomes among home care recipients who were admitted to hospital. METHODS: We conducted a population-based study of a retrospective cohort of 189 690 home care recipients who were admitted to hospital in Ontario, Canada, between 2010 and 2018. We defined patient language (obtained from home care assessments) as English (Anglophone), French (Francophone) or other (allophone). We obtained physician language from the College of Physicians and Surgeons of Ontario. We defined hospital admissions as language concordant when patients received more than 50% of their care from physicians who spoke the patients' primary language. We identified in-hospital (adverse events, length of stay, death) and post-discharge outcomes (emergency department visits, readmissions, death within 30 days of discharge). We used regression analyses to estimate the adjusted rate of mean and the adjusted odds ratio (OR) of each outcome, stratified by patient language, to assess the impact of language-concordant care within each linguistic group. RESULTS: Allophone patients who received language-concordant care had lower risk of adverse events (adjusted OR 0.25, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.15-0.43) and in-hospital death (adjusted OR 0.44, 95% CI 0.29-0.66), as well as shorter stays in hospital (adjusted rate of mean 0.74, 95% CI 0.66-0.83) than allophone patients who received language-discordant care. Results were similar for Francophone patients, although the magnitude of the effect was smaller than for allophone patients. Language concordance or discordance of the hospital admission was not associated with significant differences in postdischarge outcomes. INTERPRETATION: Patients who received most of their care from physicians who spoke the patients' primary language had better in-hospital outcomes, suggesting that disparities across linguistic groups could be mitigated by providing patients with language-concordant care.

Derivation and validation of a clinical risk score to predict death among patients awaiting cardiac surgery in Ontario, Canada: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Surgical delay may result in unintended harm to patients needing cardiac surgery, who are at risk for death if their condition is left untreated. Our objective was to derive and internally validate a clinical risk score to predict death among patients awaiting major cardiac surgery. METHODS: We used the CorHealth Ontario Registry and linked ICES health administrative databases with information on all Ontario residents to identify patients aged 18 years or more who were referred for isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), valvular procedures, combined CABG-valvular procedures or thoracic aorta procedures between Oct. 1, 2008, and Sept. 30, 2019. We used a hybrid modelling approach with the random forest method for initial variable selection, followed by backward stepwise logistic regression modelling for clinical interpretability and parsimony. We internally validated the logistic regression model, termed the CardiOttawa Waitlist Mortality Score, using 200 bootstraps. RESULTS: Of the 112 266 patients referred for cardiac surgery, 269 (0.2%) died while awaiting surgery (118/72 366 [0.2%] isolated CABG, 81/24 461 [0.3%] valvular procedures, 63/12 046 [0.5%] combined CABG-valvular procedures and 7/3393 [0.2%] thoracic aorta procedures). Age, sex, surgery type, left main stenosis, Canadian Cardiovascular Society classification, left ventricular ejection fraction, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, dialysis, psychosis and operative priority were predictors of waitlist mortality. The model discriminated (C-statistic 0.76 [optimism-corrected 0.73]). It calibrated well in the overall cohort (Hosmer-Lemeshow p = 0.2) and across surgery types. INTERPRETATION: The CardiOttawa Waitlist Mortality Score is a simple clinical risk model that predicts the likelihood of death while awaiting cardiac surgery. It has the potential to provide data-driven decision support for managing access to cardiac care and preserve system capacity during the COVID-19 pandemic, the recovery period and beyond.

Sex differences after coronary artery bypass grafting with a second arterial conduit.

OBJECTIVES: Double arterial conduit use during coronary artery bypass grafting is associated with improved clinical outcomes compared with single arterial conduits in the general population. However, the sex-specific outcomes of this strategy remain unknown and are needed to inform sex-specific revascularization guidelines. METHODS: We conducted a population-based, retrospective cohort study of all Ontarians who underwent primary isolated coronary artery bypass grafting with single arterial conduits or double arterial conduits between October 2008 and September 2017. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes included major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events, defined as a composite of myocardial infarction, heart failure hospitalization, repeat revascularization, and stroke. We used inverse probability of treatment weighting to account for group imbalances. RESULTS: A total of 9135 women and 36,748 men underwent coronary artery bypass grafting. At 30 days, there was no between-group difference in mortality or major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events in men. However, among women, a double arterial conduit was associated with an increased rate of 30-day death (hazard ratio, 1.48; 95% confidence interval, 1.23-1.79) and major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (hazard ratio, 1.32; 95% confidence interval, 1.14-1.51). The risk of medium-term mortality with double arterial conduits was less in men (hazard ratio, 0.88; 95% confidence interval, 0.84-0.92) and women (hazard ratio, 0.87; 95% confidence interval, 0.81-0.94), as was the medium-term risk of major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (hazard ratio, 0.91; 95% confidence interval, 0.87-0.94) [men]; hazard ratio, 0.91; 95% confidence interval, 0.86-0.97) [women]). The incremental improvement in 9-year survival was 4.0% in women with a double arterial conduit and 0.9% in men. CONCLUSIONS: Double arterial conduit is associated with better medium-term survival and cardiovascular outcomes in both sexes. Double arterial conduits are associated with increased perioperative risk in women, but the medium-term benefit is greater than in men.

Proteinuria and venous thromboembolism in pregnancy: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Pregnancy-associated venous thromboembolism (VTE) is associated with high morbidity and mortality. Identification of risk factors of VTE may lead to improved maternal and foetal outcomes. Proteinuria confers a pro-thrombotic state, however, its association with VTE in pregnancy remains unknown. We set out to assess the association of proteinuria and VTE during pregnancy. METHODS: We conducted a population-based, retrospective cohort study of all pregnant women (≥16 years of age) with a proteinuria measure within 20 weeks of conception (n = 306 244; mean age 29.8 years) from Ontario, Canada. Proteinuria was defined by any of the following: urine albumin:creatinine ratio ≥3 mg/mmol, urine protein:creatinine ratio ≥5 mg/mmol or urine dipstick proteinuria ≥1. The main outcome measure was a diagnosis of VTE up to 24-weeks post-partum. RESULTS: A positive proteinuria measurement occurred in 8508 (2.78%) women and was more common with a history of kidney disease, gestational or non-gestational diabetes mellitus and hypertension. VTE events occurred in 625 (0.20%) individuals, with a higher risk among women with positive proteinuria [32 events (0.38%)] compared with women without proteinuria [593 events (0.20%); inverse probability-weighted risk ratio 1.79 (95% confidence interval 1.25-2.57)]. The association was consistent using a more specific VTE definition, in the post-partum period, in high-risk subgroups (hypertension or diabetes) and when the sample was restricted to women with preserved kidney function. CONCLUSIONS: The presence of proteinuria in the first 20 weeks of pregnancy is associated with a significantly higher risk of VTE.

Derivation and validation of a clinical model to predict death or cardiac hospitalizations while on the cardiac surgery waitlist.

BACKGROUND: Waitlist management is a global challenge. For patients with severe cardiovascular diseases awaiting cardiac surgery, prolonged wait times are associated with unplanned hospitalizations. To facilitate evidence-based resource allocation, we derived and validated a clinical risk model to predict the composite outcome of death and cardiac hospitalization of patients on the waitlist for cardiac surgery. METHODS: We used the CorHealth Ontario Registry and linked ICES health care administrative databases, which have information on all Ontario residents. We included patients 18 years or older who waited at home for coronary artery bypass grafting, valvular or thoracic aorta surgeries between 2008 and 2019. The primary outcome was death or an unplanned cardiac hospitalizaton, defined as nonelective admission for heart failure, myocardial infarction, unstable angina or endocarditis. We randomly divided two-thirds of these patients into derivation and one-third into validation data sets. We derived the model using a multivariable Cox proportional hazard model with backward stepwise variable selection. RESULTS: Among 62 375 patients, 41 729 patients were part of the derivation data set and 20 583 were part of the validation data set. Of the total, 3033 (4.9%) died or had an unplanned cardiac hospitalization while waiting for surgery. The area under the curve of our model at 15, 30, 60 and 89 days was 0.85, 0.82, 0.81 and 0.80, respectively, in the derivation cohort and 0.83, 0.80, 0.78 and 0.78, respctively, in the validation cohort. The model calibrated well at all time points. INTERPRETATION: We derived and validated a clinical risk model that provides accurate prediction of the risk of death and unplanned cardiac hospitalization for patients on the cardiac surgery waitlist. Our model could be used for quality benchmarking and data-driven decision support for managing access to cardiac surgery.

Disability-free survival after major cardiac surgery: a population-based retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Cardiovascular research has traditionally been dedicated to "tombstone" outcomes, with little attention dedicated to the patient's perspective. We evaluated disability-free survival as a patient-defined outcome after cardiac surgery. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients aged 40 years and older who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) or single or multiple valve (aortic, mitral, tricuspid) surgery in Ontario between Oct. 1, 2008, and Dec. 31, 2016. The primary outcome was disability (a composite of stroke, 3 or more nonelective hospital admissions and admission to a long-term care facility) within 1 year after surgery. We assessed the procedure-specific risk of disability using cumulative incidence functions, and the relative effect of covariates on the subdistribution hazard using Fine and Gray models. RESULTS: The study included 72 824 patients. The 1-year incidence of disability and death was 2431 (4.6%) and 1839 (3.5%) for CABG, 677 (6.5%) and 539 (5.2%) for single valve, 118 (9.0%) and 140 (10.7%) for multiple valve, 718 (9.0%) and 730 (9.2%) for CABG and single valve, and 87 (13.1%) and 94 (14.1%) for CABG and multiple valve surgery, respectively. With CABG as the reference group, the adjusted hazard ratios for disability were 1.34 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.21-1.48) after single valve, 1.43 (95% CI 1.18-1.75) after multiple valve, 1.38 (95% CI 1.26-1.51) after CABG and single valve, and 1.78 (95% CI 1.43-2.23) after CABG and multiple valve surgery. Combined CABG and multiple valve surgery, heart failure, creatinine 180 µmol/L or greater, alcohol use disorder, dementia and depression were independent risk factors for disability. INTERPRETATION: The cumulative incidence of disability was lowest after CABG and highest after combined CABG and multiple valve surgery. Our findings point to a need for models that predict personalized disability risk to enable better patient-centred care.

The Risk of Stroke and Stroke Type in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and Chronic Kidney Disease.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) are known to increase the risk of stroke. OBJECTIVES: We set out to examine the risk of stroke by kidney function and albuminuria in patients with and without AF. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTINGS: Ontario, Canada. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 736 666 individuals (>40 years) from 2002 to 2015. MEASUREMENTS: New-onset AF, albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR), and an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). METHODS: A total of 39 120 matched patients were examined for the risk of ischemic, hemorrhagic, or any stroke event, accounting for the competing risk of all-cause mortality. Interaction terms for combinations of ACR/eGFR and the outcome of stroke with and without AF were examined. RESULTS: In a total of 4086 (5.2%) strokes (86% ischemic), the presence of AF was associated with a 2-fold higher risk for any stroke event and its subtypes of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke. Across eGFR levels, the risk of stroke was 2-fold higher with the presence of AF except for low levels of eGFR (eGFR < 30 mL/min/1.73 m2, hazard ratio [HR]: 1.38, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.99-1.92). Similarly across ACR levels, the risk of stroke was 2-fold higher except for high levels of albuminuria (ACR > 30 mg/g, HR: 1.61, 95% CI: 1.31-1.99). The adjusted risk of stroke with AF differed by combinations of ACR and eGFR categories (interaction P value = .04) compared with those without AF. Both stroke types were more common in patients with AF, and ischemic stroke rates differed significantly by eGFR and ACR categories. LIMITATIONS: Medication information was not included. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with CKD and AF are at a high risk of total, ischemic, and hemorrhagic strokes; the risk is highest with lower eGFR and higher ACR and differs based on eGFR and the degree of ACR.

CONTEXTE: La fibrillation auriculaire (FA) et l'insuffisance rénale chronique (IRC) augmentent le risque d'accident vasculaire cérébral (AVC). OBJECTIF: Nous voulions analyser le risque d'AVC selon la fonction rénale et l'albuminurie chez des patients atteints d'IRC avec ou sans FA. TYPE D'ÉTUDE: Étude de cohorte rétrospective. CADRE: Ontario, Canada. SUJETS: Un total de 736 666 individus (>40 ans) entre 2002 et 2015. MESURES: Les nouveaux cas de FA, le rapport albumine/créatinine urinaire (RAC) et le débit de filtration glomérulaire estimé (DFGe). MÉTHODOLOGIE: Au total, 39 120 patients appariés ont été examinés pour le risque d'AVC ischémique, hémorragique ou autre, en tenant compte du risque concurrent de mortalité toutes causes confondues. Les effets d'interactions des combinaisons RAC/DFGe et de l'issue de l'AVC, avec ou sans FA, ont également été étudiés. RÉSULTATS: Pour un total de 4 086 AVC (5,2 %), dont 86 % d'AVC ischémiques, la présence de FA était associée à un risque deux fois plus élevé de survenue d'un AVC et d'un de ses sous-types (ischémique et hémorragique). Pour l'ensemble des niveaux de DFGe, le risque d'AVC se révélait deux fois plus élevé en présence de FA, sauf pour les faibles valeurs de DFGe (DFGe <30 mL/min/1,73 m2; RR: 1,38; IC 95 %: 0,99-1,92). De même, pour l'ensemble des niveaux de RAC, le risque d'AVC s'avérait deux fois plus élevé en présence de FA, à l'exception des patients présentant une albuminurie élevée (RAC >30 mg/g; RR: 1,61; IC 95 %: 1,31-1,99). Le risque ajusté d'AVC avec FA différait selon les catégories de combinaisons RAC/DFGe (valeur de p de l'interaction: 0,04) lorsque comparé aux cas sans FA. Les deux types d'AVC se sont avérés plus fréquents chez les patients atteints de FA, et les taux d'AVC ischémiques différaient significativement selon les catégories de DFGe et de RAC. LIMITES: Les renseignements sur la médication n'ont pas été inclus. CONCLUSION: Les patients atteints d'IRC et de FA sont plus susceptibles de subir un AVC ischémique, hémorragique ou total. Ce risque s'avère encore plus élevé en présence d'un faible DFGe et d'un RAC élevé, et diffère selon les valeurs de DFGe et de RAC.

Sex Differences in Long-Term Survival After Major Cardiac Surgery: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

Background Little attention has been paid to the importance of sex in the long-term prognosis of patients undergoing cardiac surgery. Methods and Results We conducted a retrospective cohort study of Ontario residents, aged ≥40 years, who underwent coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and/or aortic, mitral, or tricuspid valve surgery between October 1, 2008, and December 31, 2016. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. The mortality rate in each surgical group was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The risk of death was assessed using multivariable Cox proportional hazard models. Sex-specific mortality risk factors were identified using multiplicative interaction terms. A total of 72 824 patients were included in the study (25% women). The median follow-up period was 5 (interquartile range, 3-7) years. The long-term age-standardized mortality rate was lowest in patients who underwent isolated CABG and highest among those who underwent combined CABG/multiple valve surgery. Women had significantly higher age-standardized mortality rate than men after CABG and combined CABG/mitral valve surgery. Men had lower rates of long-term mortality than women after isolated mitral valve repair, whereas women had lower rates of long-term mortality than men after isolated mitral valve replacement. We observed a statistically significant association between female sex and long-term mortality after adjustment for key risk factors. Conclusions Female sex was associated with long-term mortality after cardiac surgery. Perioperative optimization and long-term follow-up should be tailored to younger women with a history of myocardial infarction and percutaneous coronary intervention and older men with a history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and depression.

Disability-free survival after coronary artery bypass grafting in women and men with heart failure.

Objective: Heart failure (HF) impairs survival post coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), but little is known about the postoperative quality of life (QoL) in patients with HF. We derived a patient-centred QoL surrogate and assessed the impact of different HF subtypes on this surrogate in the year post-CABG. Methods: We surveyed 3112 cardiovascular patients to derive a patient-centred disability outcome and studied this outcome in a population-based cohort. We defined preserved ejection fraction as ≥50% and reduced ejection fraction as <50%. The primary outcome was disability, defined according to compiled patient-derived values. The secondary outcomes consisted of each individual component of disability, and death. The incidence of disability was calculated using cumulative incidence functions, with death as a competing risk. We identified predictors of disability using cause-specific hazard models. Results: Patient-derived disability outcome consisted of stroke, nursing home admission and recurrent hospitalisations. When applied to 40 083 CABG patients (20.6% women), the incidence of disability was 5.4% while the incidence of death was 3.7% in the year post-CABG. Female sex was associated with an adjusted HR of 1.25 (95% CI 1.13 to 1.37) for disability. Women with HF with preserved ejection fraction had an adjusted HR of 1.73 (95% CI 1.52 to 1.98) for disability. Conclusions: Disability was a more frequent complication than death in the year post-CABG. Women experienced higher burden of disability than men, and female sex and the presence of HF were important disability risk factors. Efforts should be dedicated to disability risk prediction to enable patient-centred operative decision-making and to developing sex-specific treatment strategies to improve outcomes.

Sex differences in outcomes of heart failure in an ambulatory, population-based cohort from 2009 to 2013.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure remains a substantial cause of morbidity and mortality in women. We examined the sex differences in heart failure incidence, mortality and hospital admission in a population-based cohort. METHODS: All Ontario residents who were diagnosed with heart failure in an ambulatory setting between Apr. 1, 2009, and Mar. 31, 2014, were included in this study. Incident cases of heart failure were captured through physician billing using a validated algorithm. Outcomes were mortality and hospital admission for heart failure within 1 year of the diagnosis. Probability of death and hospital admission were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. The hazard of death was assessed using a multivariable Cox proportional hazard model. RESULTS: A total of 90 707 diagnoses of heart failure were made in an ambulatory setting during the study period (47% women). Women were more likely to be older and more frail, and had different comorbidities than men. The incidence of heart failure decreased during the study period in both sexes. The mortality rate decreased in both sexes, but remained higher in women than men. The female age-standardized mortality rate was 89 (95% confidence interval [CI] 80-100) per 1000 in 2009 and 85 (95% CI 75-95) in 2013, versus male age-standardized mortality rates of 88 (95% CI 80-97) in 2009 and 83 (95% CI 75-91) in 2013. Conversely, the rates of incident heart failure hospital admissions after heart failure diagnosis decreased in men and increased in women. INTERPRETATION: Despite decreases in overall heart failure incidence and mortality in ambulatory patients, mortality rates remain higher in women than in men, and rates of hospital admission for heart failure increased in women and declined in men. Further studies should focus on sex differences in health-seeking behaviour, medical therapy and response to therapy to provide guidance for personalized care.

Association of Proteinuria and Incident Atrial Fibrillation in Patients With Intact and Reduced Kidney Function.

BACKGROUND: Early evidence suggests proteinuria is independently associated with incident atrial fibrillation (AF). We sought to investigate whether the association of proteinuria with incident AF is altered by kidney function. METHODS AND RESULTS: Retrospective cohort study using administrative healthcare databases in Ontario, Canada (2002-2015). A total of 736 666 patients aged ≥40 years not receiving dialysis and with no previous history of AF were included. Proteinuria was defined using the urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) and kidney function by the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). The primary outcome was time to AF. Cox proportional models were used to determine the hazard ratio for AF censored for death, dialysis, kidney transplant, or end of follow-up. Fine and Grey models were used to determine the subdistribution hazard ratio for AF, with death as a competing event. Median follow-up was 6 years and 44 809 patients developed AF. In adjusted models, ACR and eGFR were associated with AF (P<0.0001). The association of proteinuria with AF differed based on kidney function (ACR × eGFR interaction, P<0.0001). Overt proteinuria (ACR, 120 mg/mmol) was associated with greater AF risk in patients with intact (eGFR, 120) versus reduced (eGFR, 30) kidney function (adjusted hazard ratios, 4.5 [95% CI, 4.0-5.1] and 2.6 [95% CI, 2.4-2.8], respectively; referent ACR 0 and eGFR 120). Results were similar in competing risk analyses. CONCLUSIONS: Proteinuria increases the risk of incident AF markedly in patients with intact kidney function compared with those with decreased kidney function. Screening and preventative strategies should consider proteinuria as an independent risk factor for AF.